"A Lose-Lose Presupposition", as visualised by Ajit Sahi, finds lot of sense and the glimpse of one hidden strategy by the Congress,discovers INDIA HONEST.
IH argues, why Sahi is justified in the observation that Rahul Gandhi is betting on the BJP’s failure to win the Lok Sabha polls so that even a reduced Congress can play kingmaker to a Third Front ?
Here are few of pointing observations that stresses on the idea from the frustrated Congress leadership, highly demoralised after the 5-0 defeat in last assembly election, largely called as the semi-final before the 2014 final.
"Man with a plan Rahul is willing to bear defeat now for long-term gain.Congress Vice-President and putative prime ministerial candidate Rahul Gandhi told a TV news channel last week he believed his party would win this year’s Lok Sabha election. Given that a spate of opinion polls have predicted a drubbing for the shambolic Congress party, shocked commentators asked, does he really think so? If those around Rahul are to be believed, no, he doesn’t think the Congress is coming back to power."
"In fact, Rahul is beginning to reconcile himself to the possibility of the Congress scoring its worst-ever tally in Parliament, lower than the 114 it won in 1999. But Rahul is also increasingly of the view that the BJP, his party’s principal rival and the favourite of the opinion polls to form the next government, is going to be disappointed. And that in the BJP’s failure to score enough numbers would lie the chance of the Congress."
"First, why Rahul has begun to accept that a third successive term in New Delhi is too uphill for his flamed-out party. “We have allowed the grass to grow under our feet for too long,” rues a key adviser of Rahul’s, wiser on hindsight. Yes, the quarterbacks of India’s most famous dynasty member concede, he should have been projected as the party’s prime ministerial nominee long ago. “When Rahul says he isn’t interested in power, he actually speaks the truth,” says an insider wryly. “But that’s also why he appears to have no killer instinct.”
"Aides now say Rahul should have played on the front foot far more, aggressively dominating the government’s agenda instead of keeping a polite distance from PM Manmohan Singh, whose insipid leadership of the past four years has made his UPA-2 regime too toxic to defend. Aides also accept Rahul has no credible answers on why he didn’t act on corruption charges against his party’s governments and leaders, at the Centre and in Maharashtra and Himachal Pradesh."
"Far-fetched as they may appear, the eerie prospects of an implosive take down of the Congress party’s original dynasty in case of an electoral rout are real. In fact, the process of choosing candidates for the Lok Sabha election is presaging that later battle, as the old guard and the traditional factions are girding up to fight for Lok Sabha seats for themselves and their factotums. It is increasingly becoming a no-win for Rahul, who realises that while he may need to embrace compromise in distributing nominations, he alone would be blamed for the party’s loss.
"Half that battle would be salvaged, though, if the BJP were to fall short of forming the government. That would require the largest Opposition party to be stalled at around 160-odd seats or less, a good deal short of the 272 it would need for a majority in Parliament.
Some opinion polls this month have suggested the Congress could get around 100 seats and the non-Congress and non-BJP parties around 180. Rahul believes it would then be opportune for his party to back a Third Front government as it did in 1996 to keep the BJP out. The scenario is now prompting a new thinking in the Rahul camp on how to defeat the BJP. And the answer is the “Muslim voter” model, which suggests that Muslims vote for any candidate that they think is best suited to defeat the BJP."
"The argument goes that the Congress should field lightweight candidates in constituencies where it does not have much scope to defeat the BJP, so that the anti-BJP voters consolidate behind a candidate from a third party. The proponents of this tactic are especially suggesting its application in Uttar Pradesh, where the Congress is unlikely to forge an alliance with either of the state’s two biggest parties, the ruling Samajwadi Party and former CM Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party. The return of former Karnataka CM BS Yeddyurappa to the BJP has also thrown up the idea of either a tactical or unspoken alliance with the Janata Dal (Secular) of former PM HD Deve Gowda."
“The fact is that if Modi fails to bring the BJP to power, his political power would be hugely dented,” said a Congress leader. Having been out of power for a decade already, the BJP would then run a risk of falling into disarray, he said, which would give Rahul enough time to reshape the Congress party and be ready for the next election. In any case, in a scenario wherein the Congress party backs a minority Third Front government, Rahul would have the advantage of pulling out the support at a time of his choosing that would trigger a mid-term election, he suggested."
INDIA HONEST agrees with many of the observation,also accepts that the power hungry Congress leadership knew it well that they cannot survive without power for long. Without power prospect for a longer time, will lead to the disintegration of the historic party,but sadly that seems eminent this time, and this or any other plan will be one of the last efforts to salvage the party in future, if at all this is possible.
Moreover the sense of the present national voters bank,that is hugely divided among the regionalism, casteism, communalism thoughts, have a life time opportunity to change the course of Indian national politics for the future ,it is time to adopt one wise and appropriate slogan, "One Nation, Strong Nation".............the time has come after seven decades, we the people have to wake up finally.